Scientists believe they have discovered proof that global warming has altered Tasmania's marine environment. So begins one of today's stories at ABC Online, that continues ...
A group of biologists from the Tasmanian Aquaculture and Fisheries Institute has found a shallow reef extensively covered by coral at the Kent Group Marine Protected Area near Flinders Island off the north-east of Tasmania.
Coral reefs only survive in warmer waters and are usually found in tropical areas such as Queensland.
The senior biologist who discovered the reef, Neville Barrett, believes it is evidence that rising water temperatures are having an impact on the marine environment.
John McLean has responded with a letter to the Editor of ABC Online. The letter begins with a comment about "sloppy journalism at its worst" and then makes the following 7 points:
1. Data from the UK's Climate Research Unit shows that Southern Hemisphere
temperatures are less than 0.4 degrees C above their 1961-90
average. WARMING IS LARGELY A NORTHERN HEMISPHERE PHENOMENON (despite
carbon dioxide being relatively even in both hemispheres - but that's
another story).
2. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology shows that both Tasmania and
Victoria were warmer than the 1961-90 average in 1999 (by about 0.5
degrees) but annual average temperatures have steadily declined since
then. In 2004 Tasmania's average temperature was 0.25 degrees below that
long term average and Victoria's just 0.07 degrees above their average.
3. Data from the US NOAA shows that sea surface temperatures in Bass
Strait have been close to normal save for a short period about January 2003
when warmer waters (caused by El Nino conditions in the Pacific a few
months earlier) made their way down the east coast of Australia.
4. The report INCORRECTLY stated "Coral reefs only survive in warmer
waters and are usually found in tropical areas such as Queensland." The
report would have been closer to the mark had it said that "SHALLOW WATER
coral reefs have only been found..." because deeper water coral reefs have
been found in many places. In the 1990s, Norwegian scientists discovered a
14-kilometer-long, 30-meter-high coral reef on the Sula Ridge--an ocean
ridge off the western coast of Norway-at a depth of 250 meters. Also in the
1990s, a French-led team discovered coral gardens thriving at 600 meters
below the surface on seafloor mounds off the coast of Ireland. Since then,
researchers throughout the world have documented a 35-kilometer reef off
Norway, coral growths atop mounds off Scotland's coast, an area of growth
covering 100 square kilometers off Nova Scotia, and colonies along Alaska's
Aleutian Islands.
5. Your report failed to mention the types of coral found in these reefs
and whether these were typical of shallow or deep water reefs. Given that
reefs exist at both depths, i sthere any good reason why reefs could not
exist at intermediate depths? I don't know and your reporter clearly
didn't bother to ask any of Australia's most knowledgeable experts at James
Cook University in Townsville.
6. Your report failed to mention the estimated age of this coral
reef. Coral grows slowly and if this reef is more than 50 years old you
can forget about recent in Australia's temperature having anything to do
with this formation.
7. Your report failed to mention if the region had been properly surveyed
in the past. For all we know there may be extensive coral reefs across
Bass Strait as remnants of the last Ice Age when sea levels were much lower.
Thanks John for taking the time to put the extremely naive reporting in some context. My guess is the journalist just copied from a press release - from honest scientists at a reputable research institute?
John's website is at
http://mclean.ch/climate/global_warming.htm.
(The 7 points as detailed above were edited, mostly shortened and sharpened, at about 2.10pm on 17th July - following request from John.)
Good book for all which might bring about some scepticisms and answers "wheather" you choose to believe or not.
Michael Crichton's-State of Fear
David Ward - a reply was offered but Jen's system axed it
I don't think the Sahara is at risk of disappearing soon - it's massive.... and I would have thought increased desertification may have been more the issue... but we won't go there or we'll be into humans or climate discussions again....
I think you'll find that the global insurance industry is quite concerned about climate change. Tropical cyclone speeds in our region have been very high in recent years, it's easy to find rainfall intensity changes already in Australian records, various heatwaves and floods in Europe. A lot happening ... no single event can be pinned down to climate change but there's an increasing number of records and one-off events...
I think you'll find that the Arctic melt is happening quite fast. there is quite good satellite and observational data. Soem travel adverts are saying "See Alaska while you can .."
The Inuits will tell you things are changing - they live in it...
Y2K is a very murky area - but suffice to say stacks of work was on the issue and so disaster didn't happen. All serious coporations and goverments got their act together. Globally govt spent billions on it (probably too much ... and that's the debating point)
Thanks David Vader,
I am beginning to understand. But didn't a Swedish study show that the area of the Sahara is decreasing as vegetation moves northward? Also, I have seen statements (can't remember where) that there is no hard statistical evidence of an overall increase in extreme weather. Perhaps only an increase in media attention (courtesy of WWF, Greenpeace etc?), and greater casualties due to increased human population, living in areas previously avoided (for example the Brahmaputra floodplain?) Any comments?
I suppose we will all know the truth in twenty years or so, although I will be 88 by then, and probably won't care whether it is 25, or 26 degrees outside.
I must say TV images of icebergs melting, and seemingly doomed polar bears adrift on ice floes strike me as blatantly misleading journalism. Haven't icebergs always melted, and aren't polar bears strong swimmers, which often swim out to ice floes in the hope of a quick snack of snoozing seal?
My mind is still open, and I accept that there is, and always has been, climate change. But at the moment "anthropogenic global warming disaster" seems much like the erstwhile "Y2K disaster", which also received much media and political attention - for a while. By the way, what happened to all those Y2K experts?
Well there probably isn't much data. But the warming isn't only in these areas - it's global - glaciers all over the world, temperature changes, extreme events, species changes AND artic melt too.
Heard Island's terrestrial environment is buffeted by strong winds which would give the flora its surface temperature and fundamental basis for growth. For a major change in temperature there would have to be an anomalous hot spot in surrounding ocean - I'm not aware the satellite observations of ocean sea surface temperatures show a warm spot....so ....
In terms of a few more degrees being a good thing. Well that is OK on the face of it. But that "average" chnage will also change the frequency of the tail of the distributions too - more intense fllods, drought, more intense rainfall when it happens and more heatwaves. Does El Nino get affected.
The Sahara desert is also near the Equator and doesn't have near the biodiversity of an equatorial rainforest. If the rainfall on the rainforests doesn't come and fires increase it could be mega-diasterous for those systems. And grasslands would always love to cover areas that used to have trees and use fires to keep it that way.. So if you have an increase in temperature, some more rainfall, and not too many extreme events - maybe things may be not too bad.
A positive note is that a warmer North America may be able to get some more yield from its high latitude(Canada) temperate wheat crops and extra CO2. AS LONG AS they have the rainfall to go with it.
I have looked in vain for answers from the climate experts on my suggestion that volcanism may explain the local warming of the Antarctic Peninsular, Heard Island etc. I live in hope.
Meanwhile, here's another query. Except for mountain tops and deserts, I believe there is a general tendency for the diversity and abundance of life to be greater at the equator, where it is warm, than at the poles, where it is cold. Would not a general warming of a few degrees tend to increase the diversity and abundance of life, overall? Would this be a good, or a bad thing?