Bob Foster, member of the Lavoisier Group and reader of this blog, claims the sun drives climate and the next little ice age will be in 2030.
Following is an edited and illustrated extract from a longer piece at Warwick Hughes' blog, click here.
"The Sun is the primary long-term driver of climate. Solar activity can be predicted, and if the Sun keeps playing by the rules, the next Little Ice Age cold period will be fully developed by 2030, Figure 1.
(from Theodor Landscheidt 2003, New little Ice Age instead of global warming, Energy & Environment v. 14 no 2,3 pp.327-50. The paper is available at http://bourabai.narod.ru/landscheidt/new-e.htm )
Variable upwelling of cold water in the equatorial eastern Pacific is the primary driver of climate at the decadal level. Inflection points in the length-of-day (LOD) trend correlate with regime changes to more or less cold-water upwelling, and LOD trend reversals correlate with planetary inertial forcing of the Sun, Figure 2.
(from Theodor Landscheidt )
This second graph shows the relationship between inflection points in the LOD trend and zero phases in the rotary force applied by the giant outer (Jovian) planets to the Sun.
"All actual observations support the hypothesis of AGW - what are you talking about?"
The inverse is true! Computer climate models cannot accurately predict the temperatures of periods for which we have actual data! Different models can't even agree with each other!
The infamous "hockey stick" is a lie.
Omitting all contradictory data is a lie.
Because its proponents absolutely REFUSE to acknowledge contradictory evidence and intentionally omit all data that defies their predetermined results, I am forced to conclude Anthropogenic Global Warming is nothing more than junk-science fabricated to promote a corrupt and perverted agenda. It is no more valid than Intelligent Design.
Re; Ian Castles - GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS paper by Thomas M. Smith et al which was published on 18 March
This is what you are looking for:
http://climatesci.atmos.colostate.edu/2006/04/03/new-global-precip-papers-trend-is-zero-or-positive/
Brett_McS - "So hypothetical "future warming" trumps actual observations? Is this a science or a religion?"
All actual observations support the hypothesis of AGW - what are you talking about?
David, you can change the temperature of a room without changing the energy input. Closing the windows so the heater can warm the room is not breaking any laws of thermodynamics, nor is it getting warming for nothing. It's simply reducing the radiation of energy from the room.
The earth receives solar energy and also contains energy in its core. How that energy is distributed within the various components of the planet, and how it is re-radiated to space determines the climate. And apparently less clouds is like opening the windows of a warm room on a winters night. Nothing to do with changes in the amount of energy from the sun.
Unintentionally hilarious article on the effect of solar variation on climate here: http://www.aip.org/history/climate/solar.htm.
Money-quote from summary: "minor solar variations could indeed have been partly responsible for some past fluctuations... but future warming from the rise in greenhouse gases would far outweigh any solar effects."
So hypothetical "future warming" trumps actual observations? Is this a science or a religion?