Professor Scott Armstrong of the Wharton School of Business at the Univ. of Pennsyvania, also associated with the Heartland Institute, is internationally known for his pioneering work on forecasting methods. Recently, he challenged former Vice-President Al Gore regarding Global Climate Modeling - and today sent off another letter:
March 28, 2008
Honorable Albert Gore
2100 West End Avenue,
Suite 620
Nashville, TN 37203
Fax 615 327-1323
Dear Mr. Gore,
The extended deadline for the Global Warming Challenge has passed and, despite the fact that I have responded to all of your concerns to date regarding the challenge, you have not been willing to engage in a scientific test of your forecasts of dangerous global warming.
Despite our literature searches and our appeals both on the Internet and in our published paper on climate change, my colleague and I have been unable to find a single scientific forecast to support global warming. If you are aware of such a study, I appeal to you directly to reveal it to the scientific community so that it can be subject to peer review and so the public can see the scientific basis for your claims.
In addition we need to continue scientific studies. Thus, I pose this question:
“When and under what conditions would you be willing to engage in a scientific test of your global warming forecasts?”
I look forward to your responses. By your own words, the global warming issue remains an important one for the future of the world. Given the enormous expenditures on this issue, I hope that as a concerned and influential citizen, you will take an active role in encouraging the application of science to this issue.
Sincerely,
J. Scott Armstrong
---------------
A history of the Global Warning Challenge is provided at http://theclimatebet.com. It includes all correspondence between Scott Armstrong and Al Gore. The site will post all papers that purport to provide scientific forecasts of global warming. The papers must provide full disclosure on how the forecasts were made, as full disclosure is one of the basic principles of science.
And another funny thing about temperatures, Luke. Weren't the mean temperatures in SA in February 2008 the tenth lowest for the month, in the 59 years of records since 1950?
Look Luke. People like to read the opinions of those who can reinforce their position with reason and science. If you are incapable of that don't just keep answering back to get the last word in. You are watering down this thread even more than GMB is.
Yes but you're forgetting one thing. There is only 182 of you (if that). What I think we might do is ignore you. And you're gonna do what - nuttin'. Just like what you have achieved thus far. Nothing. Zero. Zip. Zilch.
You're unrepresentative swill Bird. And a little ranter.
And funny thing about temperatures - wasn't that a record busting heat wave just the other day in SA?
No problem at all. You have become surplus to requirements. You always were. I don't need to be running things for people to see this.
Give it another 90 days. Then we will expect another large hike in oil prices, with winter really biting, and people may start to wonder what good have you taxeaters done for us lately.
Its not as if it was just some of you idiots. Its wasn't just the CSIRO or ABARE who screwed up with this racket.
Its been a taxeaters crusade more generally. Not just Federal parasitical liars. But State and Local as well.
Its about psychology. Once you guys start sponging off the rest of us, then you get to holding us in contempt, then you get to lying to us and promoting the biggest liars as great heroes.
So Flannery gets Australian of the year. Al Gore gets the Nobel Peace Prize. You don't have to be a psychopath and mass-murderer to get the Nobel peace prize. But still it all helps.
So we have to hunt you all down and serve notice for you to clear your desks. And you will get out of their quickly if you want your tax voucher (no redundancy). Then your security pass will be made inoperable SO FAST and a restraining order slapped on you for good measure.
In your case you ought never have been let near an institution of learning in the first place.
But isn't this a problem if only 182 people support you.
By the end of this year the taxpaying public is going to be worrying much more about fuel prices than global warming. Particularly since they will have been freezing their ass off from here on in. I don't know about you guys. You might not have gone into hiding by then. You might be still telling lies about global warming even as you walk around shivering. Because you are liars and idiots and incapable of learning anything.
But the taxpaying public will have gone cold on global warming.
The environmentalists have angled us into an energy crisis the likes of which probably hasn't been seen since the middle ages. Millions will die overseas. The situation will be such that we cannot now maintain the illusion that we can carry you public sector bludgers on our backs. We cannot have you people raising new generations of parasites on the basis of the taxes we are now paying.
There is no substitute for mass-sackings people. We need the extra resources to be putting up these nuclear and liquified coal plants. We need to start now.
Once we have saturation nuclear we are quickly back in a cheap energy age. But that is two to three decades away from when we finally trash the environmentalist movement and have all the liars discredited.
We want to get started now with the dual-plant-investments, before we get caught in a high-energy-price vortex that would make the investments to solve the problem too difficult.
NO MORE FANTASISING.
We have got to stop this fantasy about reducing carbon emissions. If we have multiplied our emissions by three to five times by 2050 thats a good thing. We are not reducing emissions. We are multiplying them.
You leftists just have got to grow up and leave this childish rubbish behind.
We are looking at a 500% INCREASE in emissions and not an 80% decrease. No more fantasising. And get used to having to work for a living too.
By the end of this year the taxpaying public is going to be worrying much more about fuel prices than global warming. Particularly since they will have been freezing their ass off from here on in. I don't know about you guys. You might not have gone into hiding by then. You might be still telling lies about global warming even as you walk around shivering. Because you are liars and idiots and incapable of learning anything.
But the taxpaying public will have gone cold on global warming.
The environmentalists have angled us into an energy crisis the likes of which probably hasn't been seen since the middle ages. Millions will die overseas. The situation will be such that we cannot now maintain the illusion that we can carry you public sector bludgers on our backs. We cannot have you people raising new generations of parasites on the basis of the taxes we are now paying.
There is no substitute for mass-sackings people. We need the extra resources to be putting up these nuclear and liquified coal plants. We need to start now.
Once we have saturation nuclear we are quickly back in a cheap energy age. But that is two to three decades away from when we finally trash the environmentalist movement and have all the liars discredited.
We want to get started now with the dual-plant-investments, before we get caught in a high-energy-price vortex that would make the investments to solve the problem too difficult.
NO MORE FANTASISING.
We have got to stop this fantasy about reducing carbon emissions. If we have multiplied our emissions by three to five times by 2050 thats a good thing. We are not reducing emissions. We are multiplying them.
You leftists just have got to grow up and leave this childish rubbish behind.
We are looking at a 500% INCREASE in emissions and not an 80% decrease. No more fantasising. And get used to having to work for a living too.
http://vtr.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisionFirstPrefs-13745-115.htm
I'm sorry GMB - but you have not met your AWA performance measures. To say your performance is not up to standard would be an understatement. I'm sorry but we're going to have to let you go.
182 !
Great stuff Luke !!!
Just like that Dennis Leary song, Asshole, from a few years ago GMB will be fitting it out his gas guzzler with 'whale skin hubcaps, all leather cow interior, and big brown baby seal eyes for head lights (yeah)'. Lets sing the chourus together GMB. You know the tune.