“THE process of long range forecasting is thousands of years in the making and is still used in older cultures. The Greeks inherited their knowledge from the people of the Indus Valley and Asia, Hebraic Sumerians, Chaldeans and from northern Africa. Agricultural economies needed reliable calendars and recognition of systems that both influenced and tracked seasonal fluctuations. Monitoring developed in several cultures at once over several millennia and survives today in the Near and Far East
The sacred knowledge that was passed down was that orbiting planets affect Earth and finding past matches of cycle peaks and troughs were pointers for long range predicting. It has nothing whatever to do with carbon dioxide. In exploring relationships larger planets have to each other we can observe that the so-called gas giants affect the sun when they are at certain angles. Also we can record over time how the moon causes tides in land, sea and air and how this brings cycles of, in land - earthquakes, on water - kingtides and floods, and through the atmosphere - heat waves and droughts.
Every 20 years both Jupiter and Saturn are alongside each other on one side of the sun (last in June 2000, next in November 2020) and on opposite sides of the sun (last on September 2010 and next in September 2030). From the orbits of Jupiter and Saturn comes the decadal sunspot cycle. This regularly repeating pulse of radiation affects earth's electromagnetic field and in turn influences the atmosphere. The 11-12yr sunspot cycle correlates with Jupiter's 11.8-yr cycle orbiting Earth
I’m quoting Ken Ring, writing for Yahoo news.
But the mainstream climate science community is intent on denying such cycles.
On page 5 of The Weekend Australian newspaper is an article by Graham Lloyd explaining how difficult it was for Australian scientist Robert Baker to get work published that suggested natural climate cycles should be taken into account when considering coastal planning and the threat of sea level rise.
In fact, as I see it, the mainstream climate science community is intent on destroying any evidence of natural climate cycles embedded in historical temperature data. I have gone into some detail, explaining the practical implications of this wanton disregard for the received evidence, in my most recent letter to Senator Simon Birmingham who has been delegated responsibility for oversight of the activities of the Bureau of Meteorology by Minister Greg Hunt.
Copies of all my correspondence to Ministers Hunt and Senator Birmingham are available online here: https://climatelab.com.au/correspondence/
If you share my concerns, what about sending the Senator your own letter or email asking that he intervene and stop the Bureau continuing with this revisionist approach to history. His contact details are here… http://www.senatorbirmingham.com.au/contact . As Edmund Burke wrote: All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.
Surely Senator Birmingham has an obligation to take some interest in the Bureau's revisionist approach to the nation's temperature data!
The 960 year cycle is clearly visible in Greenland.
http://www.co2science.org/articles/V17/N35/C1.php
Ben Nevis Stuns Klimatariat
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/24/surpise-glaciers-appearing-in-scotland/
'...a noticeable cooling by 2020.'
According to Archibald temperatures should have dropped by 1.5 C off New Hampshire by then.
'I think the +/- 960 year cycle is the key to forecasting on time scales most interesting for civilization.'
I tend to agree, but I'll do some further research to satisfy my own curiosity.
[…] JM article Revisionist Approach Destroys Information About Natural Cycles Embedded in Climate Data […]
egg
Don't hold your breath waiting for the true believers to discard their delusions.
I think the +/- 960 year cycle is the key to forecasting on time scales most interesting for civilization. Because of the number of variables and resonances involved both the timing and amplitude of individual peaks are likely to vary about some mean. I don't think we will have anything that the establishment climate community and by derivation the faithful true believers of the MSM and the Greens would accept as "proof " until we could run at least a 60 year centered moving average out to mid-century. The problem is that short term fluctuations are usually much larger than the 60 year trend i.e. we could still get temperatures higher than the 50 year moving average peak 100 years down the line
See the 50 year temperature moving average in Fig 9 at
http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com.
cf the annual variation.
Having said that I do think that serious cracks will appear in the party line if there no warming but a noticeable cooling by 2020.
Dr Page said previously there was little chance of a Maunder Minimum, but we are approaching a dip in temperatures.
Speaking for the average person it would be good if we could recognise signs on the ground to prove to the MSM that regional cooling has begun.
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'The mercury is also set to fall well below the average for late summer and there is even the possibility of some frost on the ground during the week.
'Calum Maccoll, another Met Office spokesman, said there is a "very autumnal" and "unseasonably cool" feel to the conditions in northern areas.
'He said overnight temperatures in some areas of Scotland could fall close to zero later in the week, adding: "You could see... grass frost towards dawn."
Daily Record